The rapid development of the robot industry must be vigilant behind the hot bubble

“2016 was called the first year of the Chinese robotics industry, Hangzhou robots climbed buildings, and “Star Wars 6” was released. In March this year, AlphaGo defeated Li Shishi’s man-machine battle... The frequent appearance of intelligent robots reflects that the robot era has come” . Fu Zheng, general manager of Tianjin Zhisheng Wanli Technology Development Co., Ltd., the largest robot dealer in China, said to the China Business Daily reporter. However, behind the hot industry, experts warn that the robot is a high-tech, complex technology industry that requires technology, talent, capital, markets and other factors to precipitate, not only to see the prospects for the development of the industry, but also Be alert to the bubble brought about by the "quick effort and immediate benefits". In the first year of robotics, robots began to appear in people's lives, and quickly became consumer products to enter ordinary families. In 2016, "robot heat" drove the emergence of explosive growth of robotic products on the market. At present, at least 48 countries in the world are developing robots, of which 25 are involved in the development of service robots. China's R&D in the field of service robots started late compared with Japan, the United States and other countries. However, under the support of the National 863 Program, China has carried out a great deal of work in service robot research and product R&D and achieved certain results. The areas where our country's service robot industry has developed well are mainly concentrated in Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Zhejiang, Shenyang, Harbin, Guangzhou, Jiangsu, and Xi'an. National Bureau of Statistics data show that from January to November this year, China's industrial robot production was 64,000 units, an increase of more than 90% over the entire year of 2015. In just five years, China’s robot manufacturing companies have grown by nearly 3,000. In 2013, the national market sold nearly 37,000 industrial robots, surpassing Japan as the world's largest industrial robot market. However, the market is not occupied by local companies. Local companies only account for 4% of the Chinese industrial robot market. In the field of industrial robots, the four companies of German Kuka, Fanuc, Yaskawa, and Abb in Switzerland are far ahead, and are known as the “Family of Robots”. The core components determine the product's performance, quality and price. Experts pointed out that key components rely on imports, resulting in the cost of domestic robots lacking a competitive advantage in the international arena. In China, due to the disadvantage of technology accumulation, humanoid robots lag behind countries such as the United States and Japan. At present, research on robotics in universities such as Harbin Institute of Technology, Tsinghua University, and Shanghai Jiao Tong University is well-known in China. On the corporate front, well-known robot companies such as Xinsong are still dominated by industrial robots, and there are no human-shaped civilian products available.
In terms of software, the gap between China's science and technology enterprises and Western countries is not as large as hardware. Many practical artificial intelligence products have already come out. Among them, Baidu, the largest Chinese search engine, has been catching up in the field of image recognition and has recruited artificial intelligence experts such as Wu Enda and Yu Kai. Earlier this year, Baidu also claimed that the recognition error rate was lower than Microsoft and Google. Another science and technology company - Science and Technology News (002230, shares it) is undoubtedly a leader in Chinese speech recognition. With the development of smart machines, HKUST launched a voice input method and voice assistant on mobile phones. Prior to this, the company's text-to-speech technology was put into use during the Beijing Olympic Games. Compared to American companies, local companies have the advantage of national sentiment and policy support in Chinese speech technology and have taken the lead in emerging Chinese artificial intelligence research. Who needs robots In addition to industrial robots, R&D and production companies are mainly targeting three customer groups in terms of service robots in the country. The first is a children's education-oriented product aimed at children aged 3 to 15 years old. The products include smart early childhood education, child care, education and teaching, and the other is for home users. The products include old-age care, smart home, and smart wear. And so on; there is also a category of commercial robots for public service establishments that include smart security, business welcoming, cleanliness, catering, and lead services. Tianjin Zhisheng Wanli Technology Development Co., Ltd. is a company that specializes in service robot sales. The general manager of the company paid attention to the current robot market and said that Zhishengwanli chose the service robot as the sales agent's main product, mainly because of the current market demand. As a robot manufacturer, huge capital and energy are placed on the R&D and manufacturing of products. Marketing and promotion are the shortcomings of these companies. He believes that in the next two or three years, the domestic robot market will reach a high peak, after the peak will face a product replacement, the market will have a down period, and after the new product replacement, it will be another Chinese robot market Peak period. The length of this replacement period depends entirely on the degree of development of domestic technology in the future. For the current demand for home robots, Fu Zheng is optimistic about the pension market. He said that through the current survey of the demand for the robot market, the future of home-based elderly robots for the elderly has a huge market prospects. This is not only because of the current aging problem in China, but also reflected in the current domestic elderly care, care has become one of the important issues of the family. Double-family families, the children basically do not have too much time to visit and take care of two elderly people. In addition, from our investigation of some nursing home institutions, it can be seen that many children even want to send old people to nursing homes and they want to be able to see and understand the situation of the elderly at any time and place. The old-age robots meet people's needs in this regard. Intensified competition in the industry China has become the world's fastest growing robot market, forming a nationwide "robot fever." However, experts said that the development of the robotics industry in our country is an opportunity and a challenge to coexist, and development is too fast, so that companies that have not experienced growth in the long-term face unprecedented competition. In the next five years, the robotics industry will "reshuffle." The data shows that China has become the world’s largest robot producer. In 2013, 37,000 new robots were added and 56,000 units were added in 2015. Against the background of the global economic downturn, the robotics industry has grown in a contrarian direction: in 2013, the global growth rate was 12%, and that of China was 58%. In 2014, the global growth rate was 27%. China's growth rate was 54%. China's growth rate has been leading the global robot market. In response to the explosive growth of robotic products in the current "robot-hot" market, Wu Xiaobo, a well-known economist, elaborated his opinion: Any industry starts with a bubble, a large number of entrepreneurs go in, a lot of capital goes in, but actually this The scene is ambiguous. At present, more than 2,000 robotics companies may die 90%. Only robots with real scenes can survive. Why does the robot develop rapidly in China? Gu Chunyuan, chairman of ABB China, believes that China’s demographic dividend is slowly decreasing, labor costs are rising, and the use of robots is much lower than that of developed countries, which provides unlimited opportunities for the application of robots. Qu Daokui, President of Xinsong Robotics Automation Co., Ltd., said that nowadays, the company's production is increasingly pursuing product customization and customization, and it strives to quickly adapt to market demands. The shorter life cycle of products requires the manufacturing mode to be flexible and intelligent. If the product is dragged on for a long time during the trial, the cycle may have passed when the product comes out. This requires intelligent robots to speed up the production process. According to Fu Zheng, general manager of Zhisheng Wanli Technology, the explosive growth of China's robot market is also related to China's national conditions. Most of the companies currently entering the robot market want to actually develop in this industry. It is undeniable that there is still a part of the loopholes in the drilling policy. As of 2015, the number of robotics companies in the country has reached more than 400, many of which are outstanding companies. They focus on technology and focus on talents, and put the company's focus on technology research and development and product development. Among them, some companies have approached the international level, especially in terms of industrial robots, and even ahead of the ranks of the world's robots. However, some companies only buy designs, buy parts, and then assemble robots. This is quite a formal enterprise. The industry is flooded with a large number of machine "little people". They have whipped up the market but they have no technical contribution. They have a lot of meaning to "cheat on a subsidy and go away." This is why the fiery robot market is bound to accelerate the formation of a bubble. The robot is an industry with high technological content and complicated technology. It needs technology, talents, funds, markets and other factors to precipitate. Experts said that he sincerely hopes that our robot can grow up as soon as possible, but we do not want to see it become a rapidly rising inflatable doll.

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